Post-quantum signature adoption in production commerce systems will remain below 1% through 2027
Made: March 1, 2026
Resolves: December 31, 2027
Status: Active
Despite NIST finalizing post-quantum cryptographic standards, production commerce systems face enormous migration inertia. Legacy payment processors, certificate authorities, and embedded hardware all create drag on adoption. This prediction tests whether the theoretical urgency of quantum-safe cryptography translates into actual deployment within commerce infrastructure.
Predictor
Pragma Research Team
Prediction Accuracy
0
Category
Security
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